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Economy subscriptions thoughts

Contemplating -GDP Growth.


Gross Domestic product marks the economic growth.The growths can be by two ways, positive and negative. Positive growth is associated with surplus,and to a period of  boom or upturn. Negative growth means a shrinking  economy, linked with recession or downturn.

Economic growth aims at maximum returns on investments.To enhance economy , a free trade policy  is adopted. The principle of trade got a dramatic reformation, in course of the centuries. If a commodity can be procured cheaply  from  another country, there is an avenue for profitability.This  theory of comparative advantage  brings with it free trade.Creative destruction infused by capitalism produces enormous wealth, by investing low return capital in high return cutting edge technologies.

Economic growth has an overwhelming  dominance on the living conditions of the people.Global poverty has been minimised by the onslaught of thriving economy.Happiness increases with higher per capita income.The economies driven by new technology  and ongoing improvements excel in efficiency.

Prosperity heralds misdoings such as crime ,theft, cheating . The more the material excess, the more immoral ,arrogant behaviour can be anticipated .The excess revenue commands many unwanted needs.Requirements are created.Wants are invented. The consumers ,instead of being masters of economy,are  converted into slaves of the growth brought forth by them.We are living beyond our means. We  are suck ing out the natural resources to the maximum. Human environmental demand needs 21.9 hectares per person, while earth’s capacity per person is 15.7 hectares per person.The gap between the poorest and richest countries in the world is widening.There is an evidence of  inequality in wealth.

Growth improves the quality of  life to a point ,after which there is a gradual fall. This not only applies to a nation, but also to an individual. The United States Of America ,which had unprecedented growth  a few decades ago is witnessing an unbelievable detiorartion in recent years.The  American splurge is an outcome of excessive surplus  made available to them by the rising economy. Their ostentation has purported a decline in wealth.

There is a saying in Tamil “:muppathu varusham vazhlanthavanum illai , thaalnthavanum illai,” which when translated reads , no man lives in glory for thirty years, nor wallows in poverty for the same period. The cycle varies. The ups and downs mark the way of life.

The approach is important. The placid perception, the keen insight, the equanimity, the pleasant acceptance that makes everything ,either it be growth or fall , sweet and salubrious,great and wholesome, fine and friendly.

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Economy subscriptions thoughts

Monetary Imbalance.


Mental imbalance leads to a quixotic behaviour ,certain times harmless, most times violent.

Physical imbalance directs to an unsymetrical  aspect and brain seizures foretelling major health risks.

Monetary imbalance juggles up finances and defaults focusing on a much hesitant bankruptcy.

A careful consideration of mental , physical and fiscal balance is an essential referendum to maintain a solid basic.

The fiscal part , if not  primarily taken care off will land us in great muddle. It is the most vital  factor , which renders an equalibirium  to enliven the spirit.

A little flaw, a slight over rule of the financial description , an erroneous accounting, an indulgence for over spending will pull down the curtains of  sustainabilty and survival.

The  revenue generated , should be wisely invested. A part of it should be spent on requirements  of necessity. Another portion should be accommodated for prudent investments. The final and third  accrual must be utilised for charity and for the uplift of society.

A lavish throw out on  socialising, on holidaying, on attire , and on  unruly pastimes will act as a precursor to doom. Our forefathers bought what was needed, took a break from the routine in a moderate account.A simple lifestyle , with all the necessities ,which provided them with excellent comforts ,marked their way of life. Credit cards were unknown. It was always cash and carry. Socializing did occur, but proceeded in a humble get together with less ostentation .

The  finance of  our ancestors was controlled . Their expenditure was well within their means.But we, involve in extravagance, by deriving benefits from the modern fiscal procedures ,like debit card, credit card, easy loan, mortgage loans. These  instead of helping us to wade off the threat of carrying money ,wherever we go, has thrust us into a deep pool of messy debt .

Liabilities within the frame of assets is not to   a problematic assignment. Neverthless debt beyond the  worth indicates risky admonitions. The modern lifestyle  comprises of home procured with mortgage loan, vehicles bought with car loan, accessories purchased with little down-payment , followed by monthly instalments entrap us in a puddle of debt.

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A Century Soon


91 banks have been closed so far. The latest is Corus.The world is anxiously waiting for the first century. It is well within the reach.Can we anticipate a closure before the year is out, or even ahead of it?

What does these foreclosures or collapse  to put the process in a rude format mean?What do they elucidate?What do they interpret?

They  drive us mad. They make us panic. They move us adrift. We sail in an unknown direction. The banking regulations have exhibited a weak stricture. They have exposed a punctured  dogmatic interlude. They have manipulated a distinctive deviation from the accepted purview. A sober sullenness   is destined to happen, or more so has settled in the banking sphere. The mitigated suffering  thrusts sarcastically as a prolapsed weird symptoms  persists.

The regulators have engrossed themselves in analysing the furrows and furore that kept the banks in an unholy, unruly mess. The discrepancies that provoked the shut down of the banks reveal a great device of fault and error,  a considerable procedure of deceit and derailment, a consolidated prediction of falsehood and irrationality.These annihilated anomalies  assembled together to mesmerize the investor in particular , and the government at large . The former, unaware of the deformity in depth, but aware of the glamour in the apparent virtuoso , trusted the institution in full. The business was conducted in a smooth method, thus maintaining the faith of the investor intact. The government was misguided by the transactions which put forth an intrinsic valuation to the normal eye. but displayed an atrocious expungence when read in detail.

The chief executives took handsome salary, enjoyed a gusto of perquisites, experienced a sumptuous lifestyle, grabbed a solid bonus, thus filling their own exchequer at the expense of the investor’s funds. The reward was so hefty, that the public was pushed to total amazement .

A regal lifestyle, a royal upbringing, a fine texture of grandeur marked the honourable executives gallop in utmost speed. The advances were rushed through. The identification of true value customer was a shadowy deal. The crisp exchanges had a veiled formation. The sentimental significance had a manifold misuse, that led to the debacle of the established conventions.

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Economy subscriptions thoughts

A Golden Haven


Gold was considered as an asset , a possession of pride, a symbol of wealth and a significant proactive fortune proforma .

All that glitters is not gold, goes the maxim. But now the price of gold is far more glimmering than the metal. Its value has been jacked up. Its high price tag has not deterred the investor from procuring it. Usually an escalation  brings down the demand, But , this precious metal , though quoted dear has shown an overwhelming response.A paradoxical win win situation for the yellow metal.

As  the stocks went cheap, as the economy underwent a chaotic fall, as the real estate tumbled, as the manufacturing industry protracted strain, as the oil crumbled from 145$ to 44$, the golden opportunity for gold rose high . It is acclaimed as a safe and secured bet by most investors. Hence the demand is so powerful that the metal keeps on rising in its intrinsic value.

Gold is now quoted in the range of 992$ . The observers ,feel strongly that it would cross the mark of 1000$ in a few days. The wedding season in India, which is the largest purchaser of gold, is in full blossom. The Indian mindset , has not changed . They still want to deck their daughters with gold , in more forms ,such as necklace , bangles, earrings, nose rings, bracelets and anklets. This cushioning effect has given a credibility to the price inflation of the metal.

There is an old adage, I am not sure of the exact words, that money invested in gold and land will never go astray, but get multiplied in geometric progression. Two years back , gold carried a price of 50$ or even less, now it is about to breach the 1000$ mark. A jump , which cannot be believed , but it is true as we are physically witnessing the frenzied range.

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Economy subscriptions thoughts

Interpretation Of Banking Norms


Banking and Finance is a heavy subject. Science and most recently computers, information technology have been in popular circulation , as subjects of great interest . Apart ,from being  interesting , they are lucrative . The software hype has created billionaires in a short time. No wonder ,the craze for such courses is growing in supersonic speed.

Banking  may seem old, but yet it is new. It has been in existence from time immemorial. It gets transformed  and takes up a modern perspective ,according to the period. Its norms are altered, modified , and revoked, freshly added in respect to changing eras.

This measured ramifications  render the banking subject almost new. An absolute mastery of the subject is a near impossibility.The reformations are carried out ,after thorough analysis.Committees are set up to  discern ample possibilities  and vivid scope  that are available to promulgate vast interactive transcriptions.

The committee’s are  formed ,with great care and with greater expense.It takes a minimum of three years  to present its report. The conclusions are not accepted in full form. The clauses ,which get the approval of the majority of the bankers are assimilated . The balance, is shoved into the oblivion. The regulations concerning the corporates, are widely acclaimed. The strictures that deal with credit cards system also find a cordial welcome. But , that which deals with the employees , insinuates a confusion ,so that the specific recommendations centering on these issues get buried.

The interpretation of the norms, as put forth by the  committee , differs from bank to bank. This contradictory readings jeopardise the customer. The Reserve Bank Of  India , set up the Narasimhan Committee to give a face lit to Banking concepts. Its reports , present a rare insight on the NPA’s .  Accordingly, the non performing assets ,should not find a place in the balance sheets of the banks. Banks , practised a, phenomenon,which apparently predicted a distinct distaste to their integrity. They completely cooked up accounting details. They showed in their balance sheets , that they have wiped off the non performers, by collecting their dues., which in  reality ,  was not performed. Narasimhan Committee , firmly ordered that this insincere, fictitious proposition should not be carried out. The window dressing has led to various anomalies that extend a vast deformity  and mandatory difficulties.Public sector banks in India , have come with their own definitions, which are sometimes ridiculous, but mostly very risky and erroneous.The gross default has led to  a disaster unpredictable.

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Economy subscriptions thoughts

Goose Is Cooked.


Loopholes in accounting has led to many fraudulent  practices.Window dressing of balance sheets, cooking up data’s, hiking sales,jacking up share prices are few insolent  intrigues that instigate deceiving measures and disintegrating materials.

Window dressing accounts for 50% of fraud in corporates.Share prices are enhanced, its valuations are hiked ,such that promoters and top management benefit most.Downturns or recession promote an acceleration in frauds .Promoters engage in misconduct,commit frauds and  they easily justify their action.When there is high profitability, smooth flourish , the mishaps are buried deep. When the  essence of   paucity is experienced,  the irregularities are thrown open.

Loan portfolios are unequally disbursed. The top brass account a very low non performing assets thus entering into a world of  notoriety.False entries  are made.Fictitious inventory is maintained in production and sales. The companies pay statutory dues forgoods not manufactured.Corporates , thus lure the investors, private equities , and mutual funds , by projecting feigned systematic profit .

Forensic experts have a lucrative tenure, as most mutual funds and private equities hire them to decipher the digressions. These agencies are making tonnes of money.

Apart from the top management,there is a widespread anomaly among the employees. The procurement related fraud are surging leading to a definite leakage of funds.

Indian companies  , awry of expenses, subdue the misconduct , by compelling the erring official to resign. This man gets a plum job in another company , commits the same mistake, but let free  for fear of  abnormal costs. This individual ,will seek job elsewhere. he will land up in a bigger company, with extended access to perform  a deeper crime.

Checking their duplicate  profile , then and there, will conduct a disciplined behaviour, thus instilling an undeterred confidence in the investor’s mind.

Ethic is the vital   provision in business. Confidence is the enriched quality of business. Straight movement is an emphatic  idiom of business.

The cooked goose  idiomatically depicts hidden untold slanders and  much ruptured ulcers

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Economy subscriptions thoughts

An Ode To Economy


A mighty blow,

A deadly shudder,

A grotesque  caricature,

Economy entreats.

A severe recession,

A fathomless submission,

A mandatory evidence,

Economy  beseeches.

A chaotic congurence,

An erratic  corruption,

A feigned pollution,

Economy  implores.

A dashing wreckage,

A dithering frigidity,

A rigid  morbidity,

Economy importunes.


A turbulent tirade,

A ghastly turmoil,

A global whirlpool,

Economy cries,

A wretched  misappropriation,

A  frenzied approximation,

A disturbed provacation,

Economy  solicits.

A defeating theorem,

A seducive logirithm,

A fumigating myriad,

Economy  weeps.

A solemn appraisal,

A definite  proposition,

A scruplous system.

Economy will rise.

A serious attempt,

A sincere work out,

An ardent programme,

Economy will grow.

A quick response,

A firm approval,

An intricate design,

Economy will thrive.

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Economy thoughts

Obama’s Strategic Move.


President Obama makes up his mind to appoint Bernanke as Fed Chairman,five months ahead .Economists feel  that he is the right choice.He faltered at the early stages, but learnt a lot by mistakes.He made a mess of the foreclosure crisis.Obama said  that his temperament, courage and creativity helped to prevent another Great Depression.

Bernanke fumbled  under pressure in not finding a way out to take over Lehman Brothers.He has revolutionary ideas.He has cut rates and opened a discount window to more firms.Economy is showing recovery, but still unemployment is looming large.He has to pay  a serious consideration in putting things together.

His performance has won him a grade of D+ -69  as calculated by the economists .He was awarded  low marks below 20.His median grade is 80.But , if he could pull back the economy to reasonable status , then he will go down in  history as one of the greatest fed Chairman.He has to deliberate on the vast expansion of the balance sheets, and  has to screw up the money supply. He has to tread a careful path.

Stock futures  pointed to a moderately high opening.Bernanke, if chosen, vows to restore”more stable financial and economic environment in which opportunity can again flourish and in which Americans hard work and creativity can receive proper awards.”

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Economy subscriptions thoughts

In A Quandary.


“To be or not to be”was Hamlet’s dilemma. The Hameletian philosophy is traced down the line in the Fed’s decision to lower rates. Rates almost nearer to zero will stop inflation from falling and falling says Kohn, on behalf of the policy makers. The Federation chopped the rate to zero, pumped hundreds of billions of dollars to keep the economy positive.Did they find success?

Carl Wash, a Santa Cruz economist ,of the university of California differs.His research points out that low rates would definitely clash with inflation against which the Fed is fighting. Kohn does not admit to this economist’s view.

The Fed’s buy of long term securities will spur growth, is another illustrative policy of Kohn. The economists ,again feel dithered , indicating that procuring these assets  while rates are falling is highly risky. Kohn’s perception is contrary to the acclimed economists outlook. He believes that investors desire to raise short term securities. The central bank ,has a valid scope to step into the arena, thus affecting the value of the assets.

The European counterparts do not want to lower the rates . They have a target , and the process of moving ahead to reach the goal is getting on without much disruptions. They are determined not to cut rates further than 1%.

Kohn traverses a path less travelled, His government’s policy ,at the moment is not applicable.,in the real sense. It poses a real risk . How does Kohn proposes to annul inflation by bringing down the rates low.?His  scheme appears mystical, beyond comprehension and totally out of context. 

The Fed ,in Robert Frost’s words has

Miles to go before it sleeps

Miles to go before it revives, is the slight modification ,I contribute to the whimsical equation of Kohn.

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Economy subscriptions thoughts

Recovery With A Scar


Recession is almost over. Bad times have been expunged.We see a kind of happiness all  around. We hear a sigh of relief, which is sonorous. We  experience a sense of practicality ,which is rewarding. The throbbing fear, the serious deliberations, the much debated flaws in the economic policies, the nervous apprehension all have slowly dimmed though not a full detachment from the prowling irregularities that pounced the world economy.The attack was so harsh that it surmounted to a depletion of finances.

U.S was bleeding. The housing proved a devilish blow, banks  miserably collapsed, one after another, autos applied a sudden break. There was a veiled drooping ,a cacophony shriek,a hoarse muttering which made the richest nation a skeleton like virtuoso. U.S succumbed to the wrong policies. It fell a prey to the erring shots of the bureaucrats. Its people knew to spend, but did not learn to save.The two year abject decimation of its financial, has restructured the tarnished economy.U.S is slightly propping its head out, and Paul Kruggman opines that by September, the country would emerge timidly out of  depression, but the scar will remain.

A serious wound takes time to heal, once it starts closing up, the getting better sets in. But the deep wound will leave a scar ,which will take months or even years to vanish. Similarly the bruise that economy has inflicted on the nations, is methodically getting covered up,but the residue will last long. It should remain for a duration, so that any folly or mishap for that matter will be  deflected once we are reminded of the great recession.

Recessions and Depressions punctuated this long era with their shortcomings. The default should have taught us a lesson , should have made us refrain from not committing the same folly. It did teach , but we like every other eventuality forgot . We indulge in going through the doldrum once again.

A thorough grounding of theorems and hypothesis in school days ,escapes our memory . A  strong fundamentals in grammar and applications of skills in writing during our  school and then college levels are no longer sustained in our mind. We go about our own way,discarding the accepted norma.  rejecting the bequeathed traditions, deferring the established principles. So ,if another pulsating ,subduing ,denigration bursts out, we have no alternative but to be drawn by it unobtrusively, and later climb out fully drenched in its velocity and vibrancy.